Drawing on a range of political, economic, and social trends, this paper. A transformed world was prepared by the national intelligence council to stimulate strategic thinking about the future by identifying key trends, the factors that drive them, where they seem to be headed, and how they might int. Roland berger trend compendium 2030 trend 6 global knowledge. Our annual survey includes data from more than 70 countries, ac. Five key global trends to 2030 15 key global trend 1 17 a richer and older human race characterised by an expanding global middle class and greater inequalities key global trend 2 23 a more vulnerable process of globalisation led by an economic g3 key global trend 3 33 a transformative industrial and technological revolution. Jan 09, 2017 global trends is the intelligence communitys major assessment of the forces and choices shaping the world over the next two decades. Released in 2004, the team looked at four alternative future scenarios. Global trends 2030 individual empowerment and the role of disruptive technologies mr m burrows, director, strategic, foresight initiative cstd 202014 intersessional panel created date 121620 11. In autumn 2008 the eu and the global economy entered the steepest. Report of the national intelligence councils 2020 project based on consultations with nongovernmental experts around the world december 2004. The globalizing economy back to the future growing middle class state. A pdf from a knowledgable author projecting global trends out to 2035. Alternative worlds open pdf 0 b this report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories during the next 1520 years. The following report was released december 10, 2012 by the national intelligence council a condensed version of the report is also available 1.
A transformative industrial and technological revolution. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national. The economic and technological revolution the european strategy and policy analysis system espas provides a framework for cooperation and consultation at administrative level, on a voluntary basis, between the european parliament, the european commission, the council of the european union, and the european external action. The third in the series is mapping the global future. What fate for liberal order in a postwestern world. Although the 2016 version hasnt been made public yet, the principle author of global trends 2030 wrote a very detailed update to his previous work called global risks 2035. Includes 41 countries from north america, western europe, cee, gcc, asiapacific, latam and africa. The findings identify nine global megatrends that are most salient to the future of. Global trends to 2035 geopolitics and international power this study considers eight economic, societal, and political global trends that will shape the world to 2035, namely an ageing population, fragile globalisation, a technological revolution, climate change, shifting power. Far more than the four previous issues of global trends, global trends 2030 places a huge emphasis on technology in general and on what it considers potential and likely technological game changers in the foreseeable future, at least out to 2030. Global trends and risks that will shape the world over the next 20 years 4 1.
Many global trends are doubleedged, harbingers of progress but also destabilizing in their immediate. A pdf from a knowledgable author that you guys might find interesting. Report of the national intelligence councils 2020 project based on consultations with nongovernmental experts around the world december 2004 to obtain a copy of this publication, please contact. Before launching work on the current volume, the nic commissioned an academic study of the four previous global trends studies, going to back to the first edition in 199697. Unique among intelligence products of this depth and stature, the national intelligence councils quadrennial global trends report is. The following report was released december 10, 2012 by the national intelligence council. Global trends 2030 has done an admirable job of bringing these technological game changers the military as well as other users will need in the ensuing decades. Global trends, values, and ethics is a book that asks, what will our world be like in the next fifteen to twenty years.
Although reading trends 2030 is helpful, risks 2035 can be read alone. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future as with previous editions, the national intelligence council hopes that this report will stimulate strategic thinking by identifying critical trends and potential discontinuities. Roland berger trend compendium 2030 trend 6 global. The european strategy and policy analysis system espas provides a framework for cooperation and consultation at administrative level, on a voluntary basis, between the european parliament, the european commission, the council of the european union, and the european external action service, with the committee of the regions and the european economic and social committee as observers, to work. National intelligence council releases global trends 2030. Richer, older and more urban human race with an expanding global middle class and greater inequalities global trend 2. This pew research center report provides a comprehensive overview of the changes in global economy over the past several decades, including details of several categories of middle class, and projects future trends.
For industry readers of defense media network, these potential game changers are of. Deloitte ports industry global trends in the ports industry 17 each driver represents a shift in demographics, society, technology, or the economy that impacts the future. The middle east will be shaped by many of the same global trends influencing developments in other regions. Therapeutics, clinical development and health system implications a record number of new oncology drugs was launched in 2018, bringing new treatment options to patients, and continuing the transformation of treatment patterns occurring from the introduction of immunotherapies less than five years ago. Paradox of progress january 2017 open pdf 17 mb this edition of global trends revolves around a core argument about how the changing nature of power is increasing stress both within countries and between countries, and bearing on vexing transnational issues. But chinas power has consistently increased faster than expected. Global trends 2025 is the fourth installment in the national intelligence councilled effort to identify key drivers and developments likely to shape world events a decade or more in the future. A global middle class is more promise than reality. According to policymakers in the us, eu, russia, and nato, trends may bend in many potential directions, ranging from the rise of technologically empowered individuals.
Global trends 2025 by progressive management overdrive. Global trends 2030 reports us, eu, russia, and nato. Global population and global middle class population. Industry can seize the high ground by getting ahead of the power curve and anticipating militarys needs in these areas. In order to promote public education and public safety, equal justice for all, a better informed citizenry, the rule of law, world trade and world peace, this legal document is hereby made available on a noncommercial basis, as it is the right of all humans to. A condensed version of the report is also available 1. Challenges and choices for europe report is a contribution to support policy and decisionmakers as they navigate the world into 2030. The idea of global energy interconnection will facilitate a largescale development and exploitation as well as a widescope coordination and balance of clean energy, and asianorth america energy. A snapshot of the global trends 2030 report posted by globaltrends2030. Unique among intelligence products of this depth and stature, the national intelligence councils quadrennial global trends report is completely unclassified. Crowdsourced ideas and examples from our global network of practitioners tech trends 2015the fusion of business and it 2. Euiss and is the lead author of this espas report global trends to 2030. Future state 2030 is the first in a series of important conversations that we want to have.
Ipsos global trends foreword welcome to ipsos global trends 2020 this report outlines some of the headlines from more than 370 questions asked across 33 countries, and updates previous editions from 20 and 2016. A comprehensive reading of the four reports leaves a strong impression that we tend toward underestimation of the rates of change. How these six gamechangers evolve and interact with each other and with the megatrends and tectonic shifts will determine what kind of transformed world we will experience in 2030. The reimagining global health report is the result of a yearlong effort led by path to identify, evaluate, and showcase gamechanging health technologies and innovations with great promise to save lives path sought ideas from experts, innovators, and developers worldwide, crowdsourcing health solutions that can accelerate the worlds progress toward the proposed 2030 health targets in the.
From 2001 to 2011, nearly 700 million step out of poverty, but most only barely. It depicts some of the major humanitarian trends which occurred during 2010 in relation to displacement, either within or beyond international borders. The color print, charts, and pullouts as well as the easytoread summary and overview make this book readily accessible for any investor. Global trends 2030 individual empowerment and the role of disruptive technologies mr m burrows, director, strategic, foresight initiative cstd 202014. The last report, which was released in 2012, was global trends 2030. Every four years, a government think tank called the national intelligence council releases a document projecting the most relevant trends in politics, economics, and technology to discern what the world might look like 20 years from now. World press trends 2017 the definitive guide to the global news media industry in numbers, trends and changes.
Government printing office gpo, superintendent of documents, po box 391954. Global organic growth is expected to decline to 2% p. Euiss report for espas, global trends 2030 citizens in an. Global trends is the intelligence communitys major assessment of the forces and choices shaping the world over the next two decades. Contents more change than continuity alternative futures chapter 1. Global trends 2030 is intended to stimulate thinking about the ra.
This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global. Dec 07, 2014 global trends 2030 is not the stuffy tome that one usually expects from a government agency. Trends to 2030 article pdf available april 2015 with 4,831 reads how we measure reads. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future. Our opensource library houses the thousands of documents, periodicals, maps and reports released to the public. Based on interviews with business executives, civil society leaders and experts in different fields, the project investigates the key sustainability and. In the current edition, the global trends team asked what will be the primary national security challenges out to 2020. Pdf on global electricity usage of communication technology. As in last years report, we have also included a section dedicated to six exponential technolo. Brent scowcroft center on international security middle east 2020. A more vulnerable process of globalisation, shift to asia global trend 3. On global electricity usage of communication technology. A game without a referee the relative decline of the west, the process of globalisation, and the emergence of new powers is creating a world with several interconnected poles. Sep 25, 2017 a global middle class is more promise than reality.
Considers several key demographic trends and what they may imply for legislation. Global trends 2030 identifies a number of other factors pertinent to the future probability of war, including power transitions, declining us military superiority, resource scarcity, new coercive technologies such as cyberweapons, precisionstrike capability, and bioweapons, and unresolved regional conflicts. The economic context has dramatically changed since the 2007 baseline scenario. Global trends 2030 is not the stuffy tome that one usually expects from a government agency.
Following the various global trends reports as well as the blog schedule of the next one, the neglect of possible radical and even revolutionary impacts of science and technology is striking. Two scenarios, the baseline 2009 finalised in december 2009 and the reference scenario april 2010 are presented. The main section lays out the key trends, explores their. We are at a critical juncture in human history, which could lead to widely contrasting futures, writes the chairman of the national intelligence council nic christopher kojm in the councils latest forwardlooking quadrennial report, global trends 2030. This year, principal author mathew burrows and his colleagues focus on a series of plausible. Past global trends works, correctly foresaw the direction of the vectors. Wpt analysis, zenith, pwc global entertainment and media outlook. Trends on old and new post2015 challenges 2 new and emerging challenges the second diagram depicts trends on available time series data on topics that have levels of mortality similar to the mdg topics and arise due to limited access. Global trends 2030s six potential gamechangers the vast changes resulting from the megatrends and tectonic shifts alone ensure a transformed world by 2030. Citizens in an interconnected and polycentric world summary theme major trends ancillary trends empowerment of individuals.
A global human community but a growing expectations gap empowerment of individuals global rise of the middle class. To take a minor example, a technology enabling for one million dollars to increase ones life expectancy to 150 years. The color print, charts, and pullouts as well as the easytoread summary and overview. One, called davos world, looked at the challenges of sustaining an integrated globalization. Many global trends are doubleedged, harbingers of progress but also destabilizing in their immediate impact. As with previous editions, we hope that this report will stimulate strategic thinking by. Both the product and the process used to produce it benefited from lessons learned in previous iterations. Statelessness, the 2010 global trends report demonstrates the continued relevance of forced displacement and statelessness issues to the international agenda. Challenges and choices for europe global trends to 2030 towards a culture of preparedness and anticipation against this backdrop, the espas global trends to 2030.
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